Posted by
Lisa on Thursday, March 15, 2007 5:17:53 PM
newt gingrich cannot win the republican nomination for president.
even though his supporters might wish that it were possible, it's not.
my concerns about newt are not related to his personal life. they are
based on what i have seen while he was in congress –his leadership
style and his inability to complete the reform job he started in 1994.
i just don’t see him as a guy who would be able to run this country. no
matter what newt gingrich says now about bipartisanship and working
together to solve the nation's problems, there are more than a few
skeptics who question his new-found commitment to that ideal. that
skepticism is well deserved. we didn't see that very often in the
gingrich congress, which always seemed to be at odds with the clinton
administration and congressional democrats.
the main problem for newt is that most of the country is already
biased against him. i don’t usually put much stock in polls, but if you
look at his favorable / unfavorable ratings, the deficit there is around 20 points.
whether that rating is fair or unfair, it is undeniably true that he
has very high negatives with the average american. not many people can
claim that they are unfamiliar with the virtues and the flaws of the
former leader of the republican revolution. we know him well, although
that knowledge is based on what he did in congress and not so much on
his personal life. those who pay attention to politics on a regular
basis know enough about newt gingrich to make the judgment on whether
he has the ability to be president, and even though we like newt, we
should realize that he lacks that ability.
anyone can be re-invented, except newt gingrich. we know what he is,
and what he was. if adultery was a disqualifier for the presidency,
then our candidate pool would be much smaller in each election year.
this isn't what makes newt gingrich the wrong man for the presidency.
gingrich made his mea culpas to dobson and falwell, and whether he was
sincere enough to change this pattern of behavior, that's not for me to
decide. you can argue that the details of newt's past affairs are
troubling, and that he has made some glaring mistakes in his personal
life. those past mistakes were also well known to the press corps at
the time of the lewinsky affair. because of this, gingrich was initially cautious about moving forward with impeachment
based solely on clinton's monica indiscretion. if you still want to
accuse newt of hypocrisy because clinton ended up being impeached
anyway, i guess you could.
in spite of all newt's flaws, conservatives still like what he
brings to the table as a potential presidential candidate. he’s got a
stronger claim to conservatism than any other front-runner except for
mccain. we also like big ideas and big-picture thinking. that’s another
one of the strengths he has. he also has the appeal of not being
giuliani, romney, or mccain… and don’t underrate that quality. even
though he hasn't “officially” entered the presidential race, he still
could raise the money necessary in time to get himself into the top
three and become a serious contender. i just don’t see it happening.
that said, newt is kidding himself if he thinks that he can blunt
the criticism or short-circuit the full examination of past sins by
entering the race late in the game. as dean barnett points out,
thanks to the speed of information these days, it won't take long for
his entire record to be bludgeoned to death. in fact, it's already
happening at altercation, where a very thorough discussion of all those affairs in newt's past
is taking place right now. his record is not going to hold up under the
media scrutiny. he's a rock star now, but all that changes once he
officially announces his candidacy.
tags: newt gingrich, '08 election